All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Franklin Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regoinal |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/28 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
| Team Rating |
846 |
936 |
718 |
783 |
792 |
884 |
797 |
971 |
949 |
899 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
936 |
718 |
783 |
792 |
884 |
797 |
840 |
949 |
899 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Franklin Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawrence Regoinal |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| 64 |
Dylan Zeck |
11 |
16:24 |
16:15 |
16:00 |
16:09 |
15:54 |
16:14 |
16:25 |
16:44 |
16:13 |
16:56 |
16:43 |
| 733 |
Evan Adams |
12 |
18:09 |
18:15 |
17:51 |
17:58 |
17:46 |
17:39 |
17:57 |
|
19:06 |
18:09 |
19:56 |
| 821 |
Devin Vanvactor |
12 |
18:17 |
18:35 |
18:15 |
18:15 |
18:20 |
18:46 |
18:51 |
18:18 |
17:53 |
18:31 |
|
| 1,104 |
Matt Chaney |
11 |
18:41 |
19:37 |
18:40 |
18:50 |
18:37 |
18:31 |
18:20 |
18:08 |
19:42 |
18:43 |
|
| 1,351 |
Eli Adams |
9 |
18:59 |
19:06 |
18:01 |
18:27 |
19:04 |
19:48 |
18:21 |
19:10 |
19:12 |
19:14 |
|
|
Garrett Wrightsman |
12 |
19:33 |
19:59 |
19:13 |
19:03 |
19:39 |
20:14 |
19:41 |
20:24 |
19:21 |
18:58 |
|
|
Logan Nicoson |
12 |
19:38 |
19:24 |
19:38 |
19:17 |
19:06 |
19:46 |
20:02 |
19:47 |
19:31 |
19:57 |
|
|
Daniel Waltrip |
11 |
19:59 |
19:50 |
19:51 |
20:03 |
19:54 |
19:58 |
19:35 |
22:11 |
|
|
|
|
Austin Fitzgearld |
11 |
20:15 |
19:59 |
19:56 |
20:13 |
20:16 |
20:13 |
20:20 |
20:34 |
|
|
|
|
Reece Lady |
12 |
20:22 |
|
|
|
20:51 |
19:57 |
20:24 |
20:23 |
|
|
|
|
Grayson Hollofield |
9 |
20:25 |
|
20:27 |
20:56 |
|
20:35 |
20:28 |
19:47 |
|
|
|
|
Gavin Conner |
11 |
20:41 |
|
|
|
|
21:16 |
20:44 |
20:11 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.4 |
163 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
60.4 |
33.8 |
5.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.0 |
73 |
|
0.5 |
99.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dylan Zeck |
77.9% |
60.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
77.9% |
77.9% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dylan Zeck |
100% |
15.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Evan Adams |
70.8% |
116.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70.8% |
70.8% |
| Devin Vanvactor |
40.7% |
122.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.7% |
40.7% |
| Matt Chaney |
0.7% |
136.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7% |
0.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dylan Zeck |
100% |
4.1 |
10.7 |
12.7 |
12.8 |
12.6 |
11.7 |
11.4 |
10.0 |
6.9 |
5.2 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Evan Adams |
100% |
34.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Devin Vanvactor |
100% |
37.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Matt Chaney |
100% |
46.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Eli Adams |
100% |
55.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Dylan Zeck |
2.9 |
15.4 |
19.7 |
16.1 |
16.6 |
28.8 |
3.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Evan Adams |
13.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
3.1 |
6.0 |
11.8 |
26.4 |
30.3 |
14.2 |
4.5 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Devin Vanvactor |
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
3.9 |
11.3 |
24.5 |
33.4 |
13.0 |
6.2 |
3.0 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Matt Chaney |
18.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
12.7 |
13.2 |
15.2 |
16.0 |
14.4 |
11.7 |
8.4 |
4.4 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
| Eli Adams |
22.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.7 |
7.1 |
10.1 |
16.0 |
20.1 |
22.9 |
11.9 |
|
